Last
week, President Trump announced a preliminary
bilateral trade agreement with Mexico, making good on one of his campaign
promises to renegotiate the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). The
general consensus seems to be that most of NAFTA will remain in place with some
modernizing changes, including new
trade rules on auto manufacturing, intellectual property, and labor
rights. While the overall wisdoms of the agreement are far beyond my grasp of
economic policy, it is interesting to consider why NAFTA has proved to be such
a galvanizing issue for Trump’s base. One possible explanation is the white
supremacist narrative that frames NAFTA as a concession to foreigners and an active
harm towards the white working class.
A
persuasive view to many Americans is that more free trade means more
globalization, which in turn means less jobs for U.S. workers and more jobs for
foreign workers. Adherence to this narrative was particularly strong in the
Trump coalition. Among those who agreed that the effect of international trade
was to take away U.S. jobs in CNN’s exit polling data, 64%
were Trump voters, compared to only 32% of Clinton voters.
However,
protectionism alone is race-neutral and enjoys broad support among progressive
union-backers and conservative nationalists alike. My theory is that the link between NAFTA
and white supremacy* is completed when support for renegotiation of NAFTA becomes
an expression of white discomfort with non-white and specifically Mexican
immigration and participation in labor markets, a link that is actively supported
by President Trump.
One
data point that supports this theory is that those who have an unfavorable view
of Mexico are much more likely to oppose NAFTA. Only
50% of those who oppose NAFTA have a favorable view of Mexico as
opposed to 81% among those who support NAFTA. This data is even more persuasive
when one considers that that nine
out of ten Americans have a favorable view of Canada, a
significantly whiter country, regardless of their support for NAFTA.
Support
for NAFTA also breaks
down along racial lines, with 66% of Hispanics and 59% of African-Americans
agreeing that NAFTA is good for the U.S., while only 46% of non-Hispanic whites
agree. Though a more directed survey and further disaggregation to specifically
target the white working class would be helpful, this data indicates that
opposition to NAFTA is highly correlated to negative views on Mexico.
Trump also
actively panders to white supremacy in his characterizations of NAFTA, by specifically
directing criticism towards Mexico and imagining NAFTA as a national
humiliation of white America. For example:
Mexico is making a fortune on NAFTA...They have very strong border laws - ours are pathetic. With all of the money they make from the U.S., hopefully they will stop people from coming through their country and into ours, at least until Congress changes our immigration laws!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) April 2, 2018
Absentee Governor Kasich voted for NAFTA and NAFTA devastated Ohio - a disaster from which it never recovered. Kasich is good for Mexico!— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) March 12, 2016
Hillary is too weak to lead on border security-no solutions, no ideas, no credibility.She supported NAFTA, worst deal in US history. #Debate— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) October 20, 2016
In
these tweets, Trump intentionally draws a link between NAFTA and unauthorized
immigration, even though the connection is tenuous at best. Trump frequently describes
NAFTA as being the carrot for the stick of his anti-immigrant policies, such as
the border wall. It is also clear that Trump’s opposition to NAFTA is really
about Mexico and not white-dominated Canada. Of all of his tweets about NAFTA that
singled out a specific country, Trump directed six of
them at Mexico, while only one was directed at Canada.
To
Trump, NAFTA is a source of national humiliation, and he uses dramatic terms
like “disaster”, “devastation”, or “pathetic” to describe the agreement. Although
not specifically directed towards NAFTA, Trump also described
another trade agreement, the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP), as a “continuing rape of our country” (emphasis added). Describing
free trade agreements with non-white countries as “rape” draws a rhetorical
closeness between his dog-whistles on free trade policies with his more
patently white supremacist remarks
that Mexicans were rapists.
Humiliation
and violation of the white race by non-whites and foreigners is a typical narrative pushed by white supremacists in the past. Trump wants his supporters to believe that
his political opponents past support of NAFTA was a contribution to the humiliation
of America’s white working class and an abdication to Mexico’s dual threats of competition
in the labor market and increasing influence in traditionally white-dominated American
society. The message is simple: support for NAFTA is a betrayal of the white
working class to foreigners, and opposition is a reaffirmation of America as a
white country.
To the
long suffering white working class, this rhetoric could be appealing because it
allows them to place blame squarely upon Mexicans, when the reality of their
predicament may very well be that they “died
the death of a thousand cuts” due to globalization, weakening of
unions, deregulation, deindustrialization, technological development, and many
other factors. All this makes one question whether Trump’s statement that there
was "no
political necessity to keep Canada in the new NAFTA deal" is
actually a comment on the negotiations. It may just be that Trump is telling the world that he considers his duty to the white supremacists among his supporters as fully met after he
has vanquished his non-white foes in negotiations.
None of
this is to say that there are not valid complaints about NAFTA from the white
working class that lack any twinge of white supremacy. For example, for the
white working class in the auto industry, the update is arguably
a welcome change to the shifts in manufacturing that occurred under the
original NAFTA, and the United Automobile Workers (UAW) labor union described
the negotiations as “on track”.
However,
what we should be concerned with is whether white working-class opposition to
NAFTA is for principled reasons that have to do with job-growth and a strong
economy, or if opposition is influenced by white supremacy and animus towards
Mexicans. We all have a special interest in ensuring that our economic policy
is guided by sound consideration of strategy and not white supremacy. A good starting point would
be better data that examines this question more significantly as it pertains to
the white working class and also more broader recognition of how Trump’s
rhetoric is based on white supremacist attitudes.
* I use the word "white supremacy" because efforts to preserve white supremacy are the reason that the American racial hierarchy persists.
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Very thoughtful post. The white working class, and the working class as a whole have very legitimate gripes about free trade deals (including NAFTA and the TPP) that have prioritized the profits of multi-national corporations over the interests of working people, both in the United States, and partner countries. That is not to say a complete end to globalization is a feasible goal, or even a worthy one for a political movement driven by and working for the working class. The integrated supply chain and ever-advancing technology make any attempt to "turn back the clock" on globalization impossible, and increased international trade can serve to uplift the lives of working people around the world. But it is important to be critical of corporate capture of trade agreements that ought to have the improvement of living standards for working people (both domestic and abroad) as their primary goal. That kind of class conscious criticism of corporate capture of international trade is impossible when criticism of trade deals is tainted by white supremacy, a serious problem well demonstrated by this blog post. Disentangling the racism and white supremacy from legitimate concerns with how international trade affects the lives of the working class is important work, and I enjoyed reading a good start to it here.
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